Rainy night…severe threat very low

Sunday, April 12, 2020   4:30 P.M.

For the past two days the Storm Prediction Center has been predicting a major severe weather outbreak over the deep south into central Tennessee.  They have been including KY and southern IN in the “slight risk” area, but their discussion has included several “ifs” for us.  In essence, plenty of uncertainty for KY/IN.

As the situation has been evolving today, there’s been a good news/bad news scenario developing.  Bad news for the deep south means good news for us.  Mississippi has been hit this afternoon and things look very bad for Alabama, central TN and Georgia tonight.  That major outbreak will block some needed severe storm ingredients from traveling this far north. So, even though we’ll see two periods of showers/thunderstorms tonight, the threat for “severe” thunderstorms will be very low – less than 5%.

Showers/thunderstorms in the local area now will move northeast of Louisville by 8-9 P.M.  Then, we’ll have a 5-6 hour period of dry weather along with rising temperatures!  Another period of showers/t-storms will arrive with gusty winds a couple of hours after Midnight.  This rain system should end during the morning rush hour.

Tomorrow will be cloudy, very windy and cooler.  Temperatures should drop into the low to mid 50’s tomorrow morning and stay steady during the afternoon.  The winds will be tomorrow’s weather feature with frequent gusts over 30 mph and a few gusts over 40 mph possible.

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