Tuesday evening

With the afternoon runs in, the models are bunching even closer.  The GFS has added some speed so it’s forecast time now runs from about 2P.M. to 7 PM.  Just a couple of hours later than the other models.  The short-term RAP model is now within range and it also likes the earlier time – about Noon to 3P.M.  The Model Output Statistics (MOS) data is also trending downward.  Only one model even reaches a 40% (6-hour) chance for rain while the others are only in the lower 30s%.  So, it continues to look as though this system certainly is not going to be noteworthy.   Probably little, if any, help for our parched lawns.