6;30 P.M. Mon., Feb 15, 2021
Drop the louisville metro forecast to 1″-3″ of ice and snow.
Snow update
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Precip. fades away overnight
11 P.M. Wed., Feb 10, 2021
Heaviest precipitation has moved south and east this evening and will continuing moving away early Thursday morning. All snow (by that time) will be gone before daybreak. Less than an inch of snow on top of the ice.
Freezing rain has mostly given way to sleet locally and that will change to mostly snow in a few hours. But not much of either.
Thursday will be dry, but cloudy and cold so not much melting will occur.
Active weather continues.
Saturday, Jan. 16, 2021 6 P.M.
The upper air disturbances keep coming our way. It was nice to actually watch the snow today…seems what little snow we’ve had this winter has fallen at night.
Afternoon flurries will fade away tonight. No problems are expected in the metro area as temperatures are expected to stay above freezing.
Another upper air system will move across the region tomorrow. Louisville’s weather should be much the same as today – periods of light snow but no accumulation. The snow will be a little heavier in southern Indiana where some minor accumulations are possible.
At least we’ll get to see it snow again!
Light snow tonight and…
Friday, Jan. 15, 2021
Situation is developing pretty much as described in yesterday’s post…check that for more details. Meanwhile…
Tonight: periods of light snow. accumulations range from “a dusting” up to one inch by morning.
Tomorrow: a few flurries possible while Friday night’s snow melts away.
Late tomorrow night/Sunday: another round of light snow begins (especially north of the Ohio River). Little or no accumulation in Louisville area. However, 1″- 2″ possible over south central Indiana.
P.S.
That possible storm around 1/24 has dropped out of the models…too warm for snow. But we will get colder air for the last week of January.
Looks like a White Christmas!
1 P.M. Thursday, Dec. 24, 2020
Short-term models are predicting a significant outbreak of snow showers/flurries this afternoon and evening. With temperatures in the 20’s, snow will accumulate and slick roads will develop. With the cold air around, the light, fluffy snow could accumulate to several inches this evening. Water content will be very low, but dry snow accumulation features plenty of air to fluff it up. The low water content, however, should allow roads to stay in fairly good shape.
Snow should begin in Louisville area by mid afternoon. Accumulating snow will end before midnight. The whole area should get about an inch of snow. However, systems like this usually form some heavier “cells” of snow showers. If one of these hits you, 2″-4″ inches will be likely.
So as an estimate: within a 40 mile radius of Louisville… up to 1″ – near 100% 1″-2″ – about 50% of the area 2″-4″ – about 20% 4″+ – about 5%
Since yesterday, I found the traditional greeting for the season
Lo Saturnalia (lo is pronounced “yo”)
Saturnalia is the reason Christmas is celebrated on Dec. 25th
Very cold for Christmas
6 P.M. Wed., Dec. 23, 2020
Rain likely tonight…probably ending 2-3 A.M. No snow, as cold enough air won’t arrive until daybreak.
Mostly cloudy, windy and cold tomorrow – some flurries possible .
Tomorrow night continues with mostly cloudy and cold with flurries possible.
Best chance for snow will be Christmas morning as an upper air system tries to wring out some moisture. Some minor accumulations (less than an inch) possible. Christmas day will be very cold with highs mostly in the low 20’s
Note: Snow is likely over eastern KY (mostly along and east of I-75) tomorrow into Christmas Day. Around an inch near Lexington but the far eastern mountainous areas could see 2″-4″.
Happy Saturnalia!!! (The real “reason for the season.”
11 P.M. update
11 PM Dec. 15, 2020
Evening models have shifted everything about 30-40 miles farther north than earlier. That puts the Louisville area into the little or nothing snow category. Meanwhile, 1″-3″ inches of wet snow remains likely in all but extreme southern Indiana.
Huh?
Wednesday, June 10, 2020
Latest NWS forecast reads like this:
Detailed forecast for
Jefferson County
Late This Afternoon
Breezy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Some thunderstorms may be severe with damaging winds and large hail early in the afternoon. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
It is confusing, at the least.
Missed opportunit
Although we did see some showers yesterday, rain totals were small. Today’s missed opportunity was our last chance for awhile, and that’s bad news.
A strong upper air ridge will be building over the mid U.S. and will provide a long stretch of dry weather. Temperatures are expected to remain near-to-below normal, so it won’t be heat wave conditions, but the ground will be drained of moisture quickly. Early in the growing season is a bad time to have a dry spell because dry areas tend to feed on lack of moisture and grow. Normally, summers tend to get drier as we get into July and August. That usually bodes poorly for the growing season. If these trends continue, we could be in for a hot, dry late summer.
Stuff
1). Coronavirus cases in the U.S. are growing again as we reopen. However, deaths from the virus are continuing to fall – about 1000 per day lately. Seems like the older generation (people like me) is sticking by the masks and quarantining while the younger ones are less severely ill from the virus.
2). Cudos to our Prevaricator In Chief. Must give credit where its due. When he ran for President, Mr. Trump (PIC) ran on two big issues. 1). Build a wall. 2). Make America Great Again. Well, he has succeeded at both. First, he imagined a great wall to keep the “good guys” (us) in while keeping the bad guys (Latin Americans) out. He got his wall, but it didn’t quite work out as he imagined. Instead, the much smaller wall around the White House is designed to keep the good guys (concerned Americans) out while keeping the bad guy in – hiding in his bunker. Yes, PIC the world is laughing – not at us, but at you.
Then there’s MAGA. Frankly, I never quite understood this slogan. At least for the past 200 years when compared to the rest of the world, America has always been great. We’ve had our problems, but we’ve been slowly improving over time. But, when faced with a crisis, our PIC has really come through. Yes, we’re NUMBER 1 – in a big way! By huge margins, we lead the world in coronavirus cases and fatalities! Yes, we are NUMBER 1.
Storm update- 11 P.M.
Thursday, March 19, 2020 11 P.M.
After Midnight, periods of thunderstorms/heavy rain/possible flash flooding over the southern third of IN, but stay north of Ohio River until about 5 A.M.
Louisville area has showers/thunderstorms 5 – 8 AM.
NO severe thunderstorms are expected, and flash flooding threat fading over the area, especially south of the Ohio River.
At least some people get snow