Subtle changes

Saturday, Jan. 24, 2026 6:30 P.M.

It’s begun, but some of those subtle little tweaks have to be added to my forecast. We’ve been talking about these little day-by-day changes are always needed. That’s why it’s always dangerous when trying to be accurate beyond 2-3 days. Today’s additions include:

1). Sleet possibility. AS this storm gets better organized tonight (ahead of schedule), it will push warmer air aloft into Kentucky/Indiana for a few hours tonight. South of Louisville, sleet will definitely cut down the snow totals. But it will also enlarge the area of freezing rain. I expect the southern 2/3rds of the Commonwealth to have a major ice storm tonight.

2). The warmer air influx will allow a slight lower pressure region to start forming over the area tonight. This is usually a “precipitation reducer.” Thus tomorrow’s expected “icing on the cake” will end up being less than expected.

The result: Southern Indiana has the least threat of sleet. So they get the most snow – probably 12″ to 15″.

Right along the Ohio River : possibly some sleet and less snow Sunday – 8-12″

South of Louisville: Snow/sleet amounts lower quickly as you go south. But, freezing rain will be a major problem for the southern half of the state. Major icing in some areas.

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