6:30 P.M. Thursday, Jan. 10, 2019
Snow and rain likely.
Forecast models have changed little since yesterday, but that’s enough to bring our weekend forecast into better focus. The primary change is that the NGM and GFS have both warmed a little. My worry from yesterday about that prospect is looking like a realistic idea. Consequences follow:
General situation remains the same…a weak system coming out of the southwest will drift ENE across the southern states. It will start to regenerate Sunday, but that will be too late for us. With the low center staying to our south, we’ll have a northerly component to our winds, so the colder air will hold in place with only a slight warming modification.
Heavy snow will break out over northern AR and southern Missouri tomorrow and march eastward into KY/IN tomorrow night. Snow should begin in the I-65 region about midnight or later. Temperatures should remain at or above 32 degrees overnight, so snow should accumulate ON GRASSY AREAS !”-2″ by morning. Roads will have only a small accumulation of slushy/wet snow, but,as always, drivers will find the icy spots. Luckily, since it’ll be Saturday traffic should be light.
Saturday most of the overnight snow will melt away and roads will improve rapidly. It’s also looking like little or no precipitation will fall during the day. If anything falls from the sky during the day, it’ll be light rain.
Light rain/drizzle moves in Saturday night and continues off and on until early Sunday. During Sunday, the surface storm system pulls eastward and drags colder air back into the Ohio Valley. Some light snow/flurries are likely during the day, but little, if any, accumulation is expected.
We need babies!
Read an article today about the slowing birth rate in the U.S. In general, the thought goes, our female population needs to produce 2.1 children during her lifetime in order to keep our population stable. Our current rate has dropped to about 1.7. So, in spite of what we’re being told, we need those immigrants!