Friday, May 16, 2025 4:30 PM

TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 10 PM EDT

Storm system has been developing as expected. Numerous reports of extreme winds (more than 74 mph) and/or large hail (2″ diameter or more) have been concentrated mostly over SE MO. No tornado reports so far (4:20 PM) although the threat still remains.

As expected, the system appears to be organizing into a large line as it crosses the Mississippi River and races eastward at 50-55 miles per hour. One short-term model (RAP) is hinting at two squall lines forming – one ahead of the cold front and another with the front. In general, the 8 to 10 PM arrival time still looks pretty good. However, if the two thunderstorm lines idea works out, the first one could be in the 7-8 PM time frame with the second one about 9-10 PM.

Stay alert to local media for any warnings that may be issued.