Saturday update

Both models are coming into better agreement over tomorrow night’s weather event.  Both agree that there’s going to be significant precipitation (.25-.50″).  The NAM still favors more rain than snow while the GFS remains colder favoring mostly snow.  If the NAM is correct it’ll be a disappointing wet snow of around an inch.  The GFS favors about 3″ to 5″ inches of snow.  The most recent afternoon run of the NAM is slightly cooler than it was this morning.  My current thinking still leans (somewhat strongly) toward the GFS, but the possibility of a longer stay with the warmer air is beginning to worry me.  We’ll see what it looks like tomorrow!