Midday Friday (Feb.20)
I’ll have more details later, but here’s my current thoughts on weather tonight through tomorrow. (There’s still a fairly large difference between the NAM and GFS, so there’s a pretty large “margin of error” this close to the event.)
1) Increasing clouds this afternoon…high in mid 20’s.
2). Periods of light snow begin after 7 P.M. Snow becomes heavier after 10 P.M. with an accumulation of 2″-4″ by 3A.M.
3). 3A.M.-7A.M. Sleet mixes with snow and eventually becomes all sleet (and possibly freezing rain.
4). 7A.M. – Noon Temperatures warm to around 32 degrees around Noon. Meanwhile sleet changes to freezing rain and then to liquid rain. (Rain/freezing rain could be heavy at times, but no major (damaging) ice accumulations expected.
5). Afternoon: Temperatures rise above freezing for several hours. Rain continues, but lightens as time wears on.
6). Some snow flurries are possible as temperatures drop below freezing again
5).
Hi Tom,
I grew up in Louisville and watched you on WAVE when I was a kid. I was happy to see that you had this blog.
I live in the southern suburbs of Cincinnati in northern Kentucky. Do you think there will be any real temperature difference to what is expected in Louisville? Would the substantial snowpack/cold ground temperatures have any impact on the type of precipitation when the temperature’s in the 32-34 degree range?
Max
Max,
Whole event remains colder for the Queen City area. I’d expect 4-8″ before sleet/freezing arrive.