Friday, Oct. 6, 2017 11 A.M.
Recent changes cast doubt on current forecast.
This morning’s GFS model run has pushed Nate’s path farther east than the current forecast implies. If this works out, and it likely will, our local hopes for some very beneficial rain this weekend are dimming. Current official forecast calls for widespread 1″-2″ rainfall over our area late tomorrow into Sunday. Forecast changes this morning would indicate our rainfall will probably be less than half that of the current forecast.
As it looks now, we should get at least some rain this weekend, but not enough to take much of a bite out of our growing drought conditions. A quarter to half an inch would be nice, but I’m getting the feeling I may be too optimistic.