Scoping out the weekend weather

Friday Morning

It’s like a three ring circus today – three models, three different solutions.  Trying to put it all together, here are a few things I’m pretty confident about.  1).  Our weather should remain dry through 6 P.M. Saturday (except for a small possibility for a few sprinkles overnight).  2).  Severe thunderstorms appear likely tomorrow night over northern/central Indiana moving into Ohio by Sunday morning.  Severe chance for Louisville area looks to be very small as peak storm chance for us will come from about Midnight Saturday until 8 A.M.  Sunday.  3).  One thing the models do agree upon is expected rainfall from this system.  Yesterday they placed a 1″+ swath of rain over most of IN and KY.  Today’s forecasts have dropped that by more than half.  Now the models are putting a 1-2″ path generally from Indy to Cincinnati with rapid dropoff south of that line.

So this could be a very interesting, and frustrating weekend for us forecasters as many things could go wrong.  But, forecast the weather is what I do, so here’s what I’m thinking now:

This Afternoon:  Mostly sunny…high mid 80’s (low humidity)

Tonight:  Mostly cloudy and warm…a few sprinkles possible…low…72.

Saturday:  Partly cloudy, hot and humid…high…90

Sat Night:  Showers and thunderstorms likely, especially after midnight.  Strong gusty   winds possible..low’…70

Sunday: Showers/thundershowers ending by late morning, then partly cloudy and warm…high…86.

Stuff

Pigs and humans are in a select group – we are the only two species who get sunburns.

Three may keep a secret if two of them are dead.  (unknown)

 

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