Friday, May 3, 2019

Latest data shows heavy rains heading south of us

After several days of increasingly gloomy forecasts for Derby Day weather, this morning’s product suite shows a definite trend toward better weather for tomorrow.

Models are now shifting the storm path to a more southerly route.  That means less rain locally and a quicker departure during the early afternoon.  Good news on both fronts.

Assuming this model shift is real, here’s my latest Derby Day forecast:  Light rain during the morning fading away to out southeast by early afternoon.  Some sunshine could show up by late afternoon.  Temperatures will be in the low 60’s during the rain but warm into the low 70’s by late afternoon.  Derby time:  mostly cloudy with a temperature near 72.  Track should be “good.”

Of course, remembering what happened last Derby Day, the above may not be the “last word”.   But the most recent trends are looking much better.

Now, the horses!?   Next question, please.

As a rule                                                                                                                                                             Horses are cruel                                                                                                                                              You bet their number                                                                                                                                       They barely lumber.