Monday afternoon, Jan. 18, 2016

There have been some changes since yesterday (see Sunday’s post) with the models, but nothing big enough to downplay our snow chances yet.

NAM and GFS are now closer together concerning the weak upper air disturbance crossing the midwest and Ohio Valley Tuesday night and Wednesday.  In fact, today’s runs have the NAM now more aggressive than the than the GFS.  Their current forecasts are now in the 2″-4″ for the NAM and 1″-3″ for the GFS.  More on this system tomorrow.

Meanwhile, both models continue to point toward Friday as this week’s MAIN EVENT.  A system developing over the southern Rockies is expected to develop into a large storm over the southcentral U.S. then travel over TN and up the Appalachians Friday.  That’s prime territory for deep snows for us.  It’s too early to predict an exact path, but this morning’s GFS is predicting 6.8″ of snow for Louisville.

Let’s wait and see!!!