Thursday, August 29, 2019  6 P.M.

Models diverge from National Hurricane Center

First Dorian was forecast to make landfall along the Florida east coast late Saturday.  Then early Sunday.  Latest forecast is for about Midnight Monday morning.  The later it gets, the more problems it’ll create.

Latest GFS products and several other models slow it even more – with one model actually holding off landfall until Tuesday!  The delay will allow the storm to sit off the coast (probably SE Florida) for 2-3 days.  That could create almost unbelievable shore erosion  along the east coast of the northern two-thirds of the east coast of Florida as well as parts of Georgia’s  coast.

Hurricane Center is projecting max winds around 130 mph at landfall.  That may be a tad on the high side, but the extremely slow motion of the storm combined with the expected winds could wipe out many beaches due to the prolonged storm surge.

Hopefully, things will change over the next few days, but, if not, prepare for the worst for the northern 2/3 of Florida’s east coast.  If you have interests along the Gulf (west) Coast of Florida, no big deal.  Few, if any, problems there.

There’s still plenty of time for things to change, but right now it’s not looking good.